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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has scored 23.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's scored in all games this season.

Michael Porter Jr. has made 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 7.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's terrific 114.0 points per game settles in as the 6th-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's attempted overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, creating a difficult matchup.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

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