Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 7.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 1.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).

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