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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.1% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 93.8% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing at home.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Cleveland is a difficult one; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (13.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

As a team, the Nuggets have been lousy at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.1 foul shots per game.

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