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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 82nd percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 31.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 92.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% more than he's made in all games this year on his home court.

The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are on the road (6th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have notched 14.5 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves, creating a hard matchup for offensive performance.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.

The Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets's lackluster 20.0 free throws per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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