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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from three in all games this season on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league as the road team with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 19.9% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing away from home.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA as the visting team this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
  • This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 0.8 3-pointers per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, labeling this as a tough matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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