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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 3.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against Toronto is a positive one for threes; when the Raptors are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the most shots from downtown per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

As a team, the Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.2 foul shots per game.

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