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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 8.2 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's made in all games this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 84th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for three-point attempts; when the Celtics are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

Michael Porter Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's sunk overall this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing clubs have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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