Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 3:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 4.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 9.0 baskets per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Suns, marking this as a strong matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 15.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Phoenix is a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 5.4 foul shots per game this year when the Suns are away from home (30th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has registered a lowly 15.9 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 16.7 points per game last year.
Relative to last year's 2.1 mark, Michael Porter Jr.'s personal fouls per game have increased this year to 2.8.
The Nuggets have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Suns have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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