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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 13.9 per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 95th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc when playing away from home, logging 7.7 per game this year.

The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 2.1 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.9 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 25.1% on 3-pointers (14th-weakest in the league) vs. the Rockets, designating this as a tough matchup.

The 4th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's poor 20.1 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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