Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.6 treys per game on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
With respect to shooting, the Nuggets's superb 50.5% field goal percentage measures as the strongest in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 107.8 points per game rates 7th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.3).
The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-slowest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Over the last 5 games, the other team has snagged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (retaining possessions that can create additional opportunities for offense).

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