Michael Porter Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 12.5 shots per game since the start of last season, placing him in the 76th percentile among all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has converted 2.6 3-pointers per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has attempted 22.2 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Since the start of last season, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 4.8 shots made from the field per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Bulls, resulting in a tough matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.