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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 6.1 shots made from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.1 mark last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 2.9 3-point shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The matchup against Miami is a strong one; when the Heat are on the road, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (17.6).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, averaging just 22.3 foul shots per game.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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