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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has posted a terrific 16.8 points per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 9.9 points per game last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has made a terrific 3.0 threes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.1 mark last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 more than he's played in all games this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs this year (17.9).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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