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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted an impressive 39.8% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 18.2 rate last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 5.5 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
  • The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.1).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the foul line without the home court advantage: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.
  • The matchup vs. the Lakers is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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