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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 3.0 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last season.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 28.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.9% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a difficult one; they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.4 foul shots per game.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.1 foul shots per game this year when the Lakers are the visiting team (15th-least in the league).

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