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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 6.2 baskets per game at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 mark last season.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 28.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Suns are the visiting squad (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 15th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.

The Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

The Suns have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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