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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 54.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.7% more than he's sunk overall this year while at home.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 3.0 3-point shots per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 mark last season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played overall this year.
  • The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to raise opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
  • The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (13.7).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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