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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 7.7 shots made from the field per game over the last 15 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a positive one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (30th-most in the league).

Michael Porter Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for scoring; when the Timberwolves are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 12th-least field goals per game in the NBA this year (5.2).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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