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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made a terrific 40.5% of his attempts from downtown this year, quite a bit more than his 18.2 mark last year.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 9.8 treys per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs over the last 15 games (16.8).
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 0.1 more than he's been called for in all games this season on the road.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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