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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against Brooklyn is a positive one; when the Nets are at home, they have given up the 23rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs since the start of last season (16.3).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Nets are on their home court (28th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 18.2% of his three-pointers this year, placing him in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 60.0% of his free throws this year, ranking in the 14th percentile among all players in the league.

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