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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup against the Knicks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (16.7).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Playing at home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 18.2% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 14th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Knicks have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 60.0% of his foul shots this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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