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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a favorable one for scoring; when the Spurs are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 26th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (50.4%).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 18.2% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. has made 60.0% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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