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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 5.5 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one for field goals; when the Clippers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have put up the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (48.3%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Michael Porter Jr. has converted 100.0% of his foul shots while at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Clippers are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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