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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

Michael Porter Jr. has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 6.3 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).

The matchup vs. Franz Wagner is a good one for attempts from downtown; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 5.7 threes per game (10th percentile).

The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Franz Wagner is a difficult one for drawing fouls; when Wagner is on his home court and facing fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game (76th percentile).

More Michael Porter Jr. Player Props

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