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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Points
Player Prop - 1/20/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

Michael Porter Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.6 three-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 5.3 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has converted a terrific 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 mark last season.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.

The matchup against the Pacers is a strong one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have averaged the 7th-most three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (33.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pacers have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 25.2 foul shots per game this year (7th-least in the league).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Pacers is a challenging one for three-pointers; when playing on the road, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 10th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA since the start of last season (31.7%).

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