Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2025

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 7, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has made 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 4thworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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