Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2024

Updated Apr 5, 2024 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+162/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this year while playing on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the LA Clippers are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the least 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
Michael Porter Jr. stands to suffer a drop-off in output across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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