Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 15, 2024

Updated Mar 16, 2024 12:44 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year while on the road.
Among all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. ranks in the 84th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 31.8 minutes per game this year.
The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting SFs have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (27.4%).
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games as the away team.
The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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