Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 2, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 1:32 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 92nd percentile for 3-point shots converted without the home court advantage, totaling 2.4 per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 31.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. ought to suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this game.

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