Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 16, 2023

Updated May 16, 2023 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk a terrific 3.0 3-pointers per game this season, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last season.
Michael Porter Jr. has played 28.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 28th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games when the Lakers are the visiting squad (5.6).
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.
The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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