Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has sunk 2.7 treys per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SFs have tallied the 21st-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.1).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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