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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -166.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Michael Porter Jr. has converted a terrific 40.2% of his treys this year, a sizeable increase from his 18.2 rate last year.

Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 6.6 more than he's played in all games this year on the road.

The matchup against the Rockets is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.9).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

Playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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