Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 10, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 5.2 3-pointers per game on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the league.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has made 18.2% of his 3-pointers this year, ranking in the 14th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games (3.4).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally worsens stat production for all stats.