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Michael Porter Jr.

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Michael Porter Jr. has converted 38.7% of his shots from downtown this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 9.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
  • Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • The matchup against Jimmy Butler is a favorable one for shots from downtown; when Butler is on his home court fellow starting SFs this year, they have tallied a massive 2.5 3-pointers per game (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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