Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 31, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -196 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has converted a terrific 38.4% of his three-pointers this year, significantly higher than his 18.2 mark last year.
Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 6.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game while at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA at home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should raise plays for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 7th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (36.1).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

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