Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 19, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 39.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 7.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
Michael Porter Jr. is expected to get a boost in production in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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