Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has compiled 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's compiled in all games this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game this year.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will likely see a decline in performance for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.