Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Michael Porter Jr. will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Michael Porter Jr. has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

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