Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 11:57 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to worsen stat production in all facets of the game.

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