Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 6/12/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Jun 12, 2023

Updated Jun 13, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has tallied 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to boosts stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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