Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets · May 11, 2023

Updated May 12, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+171/-227).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -217 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -227.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Michael Porter Jr. has compiled 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.2 higher than he's compiled overall this season on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Suns have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers player performance across the board.

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