Michael Porter Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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Michael Porter Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Michael Porter Jr.

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Porter Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-244).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +186 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Trail Blazers have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year without the home court advantage (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Michael Porter Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year with the home court advantage (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Trail Blazers.

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