Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 64.7% rate, Mark Williams's field goal ability has jumped this season to 76.7%.
Relative to last season's 18.7 rate, Mark Williams's playing time has spiked this season to 25.3 minutes per game.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 11thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
While at home, the Knicks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 three-point shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile among all players in the NBA.
When it comes to shooting, the Charlotte Hornets's feeble 109.3 points per game playing at home ranks fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 4.7 shots made from the field per game (13th-lowest in the league) against the New York Knicks, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Hornets are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from facing the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the New York Knicks).
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Knicks, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.