Mark Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Mark Williams

C · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 27, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Williams has made 63.9% of his shot attempts from the field since the start of last season, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hornets.
The Charlotte Hornets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
While playing on the road, the Pistons have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Detroit is a strong one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a whopping 3.7 foul shots per game this year when the Pistons are on the road (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Mark Williams has attempted 0.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 2nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; when the Pistons are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 13th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (1.2).
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court.
As a team, the Charlotte Hornets have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line recently: 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home, drawing a mere 17.4 foul shots per game.