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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Marcus Smart Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has posted 1.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games, 0.4 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.

Marcus Smart has played 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's played overall this year.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (88th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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