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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marcus Smart has attempted 13.4 shots per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
  • Marcus Smart has attempted 7.8 treys per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
  • Marcus Smart has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 85th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.6).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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