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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has posted 19.8 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 7.0 higher than he's posted over the course of the season on the road.

Marcus Smart has attempted 8.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.

Marcus Smart has played 31.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for scoring; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 12th-least field goals per game in the league this year (5.8).

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.7 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the league).

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