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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics

Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has attempted 12.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Marcus Smart has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from home.

Marcus Smart has tallied 31.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 85th percentile.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Atlanta is a good one; when the Hawks are on their home court, they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 15 games (21.5).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing on the road.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player production for all stats.

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