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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Marcus Smart Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Marcus Smart has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • Marcus Smart has played 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup against Philadelphia may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers are on their home court (28th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marcus Smart has missed 5.7 shot attempts from the field per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 79th percentile for misses .
  • Marcus Smart has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
  • The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a challenging one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.9).
  • The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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