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Marcus Smart

Marcus Smart Assists
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

Boston Celtics vs Portland Trail Blazers

Marcus Smart Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Marcus Smart has averaged 6.0 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's hottest by this metric in recent days: 94th percentile.

Marcus Smart has averaged 32.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Marcus Smart will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marcus Smart has tallied 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.

More Marcus Smart Player Props

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